Using simulation modelling to test the impact of future demand for end-of-life care

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PEPLER, Eileen Florence | DAVIDSON, Janet | MCGREGOR, Douglas | POORE, Keith | BROWN, Stephen | PRIDIE, Joy

Health systems globally are exploring new models of care to address the increasing demand for palliative, hospice, and end-of-life care. Yet few tools exist at the population level to explore "what if" scenarios and test, in a "cost avoidance environment," the impact of these new care models on policy, workforce, technology, and funding. This article introduces the application of scenario-based "what if" thinking and discrete event simulation in strategic planning for a not-for-profit hospice organization. It will describe how a set of conceptual models was designed to frame discussions between strategic partners about the implications and alternatives in implementing a new, integrated service model for palliative and end-of-life care.

http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0840470418772313

Voir la revue «Healthcare management forum, 31»

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