Contribution of Liver Stiffness Measurement by Vibration-Controlled Transient Elastography to Outcome Prediction in Primary Biliary Cholangitis

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Corpechot, Christophe | Carrat, Fabrice | Gaouar, Farid | Chau, Frédéric | Hirschfield, Gideon | Gulamhusein, Aliya | Montano-Loza, Aldo | Lytvyak, Ellina | Schramm, Christoph | Pares, Albert | Olivas, Ignasi | Eaton, John | Osman, Karim | Dalekos, George | Gatselis, Nikolaos | Nevens, Frederik | Cazzagon, Nora | Zago, Alessandra | Russo, Francesco Paolo | Abbas, Nadir | Trivedi, Palak | Thorburn, Douglas | Saffioti, Francesca | Barkai, Laszlo | Roccarina, Davide | Calvaruso, Vicenza | Fichera, Anna | Delamarre, Adèle | Medina-Morales, Esli | Bonder, Alan | Patwardhan, Vilas | Rigamonti, Cristina | Carbone, Marco | Invernizzi, Pietro | Cristoferi, Laura | van der Meer, Adriaan | de Veer, Rozanne | Zigmond, Ehud | Yehezkel, Eyal | Kremer, Andreas | Deibel, Ansgar | Dumortier, Jérôme | Bruns, Tony | Große, Karsten | de Lédinghen, Victor | Pageaux, Georges‐philippe | Wetten, Aaron | Dyson, Jessica | Jones, David | Chazouillères, Olivier | Hansen, Bettina

Edité par CCSD ; Elsevier -

International audience. Background & aims: Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) has been shown to predict outcomes of patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) in small-size studies. We aimed to validate the prognostic value of LSM in a large cohort study.Methods: We performed an international, multicentre, retrospective follow-up study of 3,985 patients with PBC seen at 23 centres in 12 countries. Eligibility criteria included at least 1 reliable LSM by VCTE and a follow-up ≥ 1 year. Independent derivation (n = 2,740) and validation (n = 568) cohorts were built. The primary endpoint was time to poor clinical outcomes defined as liver-related complications, liver transplantation, or death. Hazard ratios (HRs) with CIs were determined using a time-dependent multivariable Cox regression analysis.Results: LSM was independently associated with poor clinical outcomes in the derivation (5,324 LSMs, mean follow-up 5.0 ± 3.1 years) and validation (1,470 LSMs, mean follow-up 5.0 ± 2.8 years) cohorts: adjusted HRs (95% CI) per additional kPa were 1.040 (1.026-1.054) and 1.042 (1.029-1.056), respectively (p <0.0001 for both). Adjusted C-statistics (95% CI) at baseline were 0.83 (0.79-0.87) and 0.92 (0.89-0.95), respectively. Between 5 and 30 kPa, the log-HR increased as a monotonic function of LSM. The predictive value of LSM was stable in time. LSM improved the prognostic ability of biochemical response criteria, fibrosis scores, and prognostic scores. The 8 kPa and 15 kPa cut-offs optimally separated low-, medium-, and high-risk groups. Forty percent of patients were at medium to high risk according to LSM.Conclusions: LSM by VCTE is a major, independent, validated predictor of PBC outcome. Its value as a surrogate endpoint for clinical benefit in PBC should be considered.Lay summary: Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a chronic autoimmune disease, wherein the body's immune system mistakenly attacks the bile ducts. PBC progresses gradually, so surrogate markers (markers that predict clinically relevant outcomes like the need for a transplant or death long before the event occurs) are often needed to expedite the drug development and approval process. Herein, we show that liver stiffness measurement is a strong predictor of clinical outcomes and could be a useful surrogate endpoint in PBC trials.

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