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Tumor-size responses to first-line is a predictor of overall survival in metastatic colorectal cancer
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Edité par CCSD ; Springer Verlag -
International audience. OBJECTIVES: Early tumor shrinkage (ETS) has been reported to be associated with survival of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients. Our aim was to analyze long-term tumor-size evolution, according to early mCRC best responses during the first-line therapy, to evaluate first best response-survival links.METHODS: Sixty-five patients with unresectable mCRCs, treated between 2010 and 2015, were included retrospectively in this descriptive monocenter study and grouped according to their RECIST 1.1 first-line best responses: progressive disease (PDfl), stable disease with tumor-size evolution between 0 and + 19% (SDfl+) or 0 and - 29% (SDfl-), and partial responders (PRs), who were classed PR with ETS (ETSfl) or without (PRfl). Tumor-size evolution and best tumor responses to each chemotherapy line were analyzed.RESULTS: Tumor loads of ETSfl or PRfl mCRCs tended to remain inferior to their initial values: 60% of patients died with target lesion sums below baseline. For first-line SDfl+ or PDfl mCRCs, rapid tumor load increases continued during successive lines: > 80% died with target lesion sums above baseline. ETSfl mCRCs responded better to subsequent lines (37.5% second-line PR), whereas PDfl mCRCs remained refractory to other therapies (0% second- and third-line PR). Overall survival rates were significantly (p = 0.03) longer for the ETSfl group (29.9 [95% CI: 12.6-47.1] months) and shorter for the PDfl group (17.1 [95% CI: 1.5-37.5] months).CONCLUSION:Tumors responding to first-line chemotherapy also responded better to subsequent lines, whereas PDfl mCRCs remained refractory, which may explain the better survival associated with ETSfl.
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